As strategic emerging industries gradually become the engine of future economic and social development, enhancing the innovation performance of strategic emerging industries is a significant booster to China's innovation capability. The critical methods of the development for this industry is to strengthen the independent innovation ability and promote the innovation performance to advance the core competitiveness. In order to grab the market share, a large number of enterprises have invested in those industries such as photovoltaic, new energy, semiconductor chip, etc., thus creating the investment surge. It was first proposed by Lin Yifu, referring to the excessive concentration of enterprise investment in a certain industry caused by lack of information, which is unique to developing countries and often leads to severe overcapacity. Although the investment surge has swelled in recent years in the strategic emerging industry, does the enterprises' large-scale investment promote innovation performance as expected? Currently, most relevant academic research focus on the mechanism with the perspective of government and market, including government subsidy, supportive industry policy, increasing demand of financial markets and market competition. This paper aims to explore the investment surge in the development of strategic emerging industries and investigate the impact of the increasing firm investment on innovation performance.#br#The methodology is to analyze sample A-share listed companies from the Comprehensive Index of China's Strategic Emerging Industries from 2008 to 2019 through group regression and instrumental variables. Some data are excluded from the pool, including data of financial industry, *ST, ST and PT stocks, companies without complete financial information, and companies which have not been in the stock market for enough time or during the studied time period. As a result, 7 440 samples from 794 enterprises are selected for the empirical study to explore whether the investment surge in strategic emerging industries can effectively promote the innovation performance that refers to both the innovation output and the conversion rate of innovation achievement.#br#The results show that from the perspective of time dimension, the first wave of investment surge in strategic emerging industries is triggered by policy from 2010 to 2012, and the second wave is jointly driven by market and policy from 2015 to 2019, which has a quite higher level of investment expenditure and over-investment. In either wave of investment surge, enterprise investment can effectively improve innovation output. While in the stage without investment surge, the impact is no longer significant. The effect on innovation output is more obvious in the first wave due to the first-move advantage. From the perspective of different types of strategic emerging enterprises, the impact of firm investment on innovation output is still significantly positive. The conversion rate of firm investment to innovation achievement is an inverted U-shaped curve for labor-intensive, resource-intensive enterprises, and state-owned enterprises, while for technology-intensive enterprises, and non-state-owned enterprises, the conversion rate is purely positively correlated.#br#To summarize, this paper uses listed companies in strategic emerging industries as research samples and conducts empirical analysis of the impact of firm investment on innovation performance under the investment surge with different inducements. The work provides a theoretical basis for the application of investment surge in strategic emerging industries and supplements existing research about the investment surge and enterprise innovation by applying a new methodology. Moreover, the heterogeneity test is carried out from the perspectives of industry and ownership, in order to offer effective suggestions for policy and business decision-making. The suggestions are as follows. (1) The government should encourage and promote business investment while establishing early warning system to avoid over-investment and depressed innovation efficiency. (2) The government is responsible for identifying various stages during the investment surge and guiding the rational timing for enterprise investment to maximize the investment effectiveness. (3) Due to the heterogeneity among different enterprises, the government's supportive policy is supposed to be more differentiated, particularly for those technology-intensive and non-state-owned enterprises.#br#
Li Silin
,
Jiang Hong
,
Guo Wenwen
. The Impact of Firm Investment on Innovation Performance under the Background of Investment Surge: A Case Study of Strategic Emerging Industries[J]. Science & Technology Progress and Policy, 2022
, 39(8)
: 59
-69
.
DOI: 10.6049/kjjbydc.2021080006
[1] 江飞涛,耿强,吕大国,等.地区竞争、体制扭曲与产能过剩的形成机理[J].中国工业经济,2012,29(6): 44-56.
[2] 王克敏,刘静,李晓溪.产业政策、政府支持与公司投资效率研究[J].管理世界,2017,33(3):113-124.
[3] 周辰珣,孙英隽.政府主导模式下我国行业潮涌现象作用机制的实证研究[J].南方经济,2013,31(5):49-56.
[4] 林毅夫.潮涌现象与发展中国家宏观经济理论的重新构建[J].经济研究,2007,42(1):126-131.
[5] DONG M, DAVID H, SIEW H T. Stock market over valuation, moon shots, and corporate innovation[J]. Mimeo, UC Irvine,2020.
[6] 白让让.竞争驱动、政策干预与产能扩张——兼论“潮涌现象”的微观机制[J].经济研究,2016,51(11):56-69.
[7] 马红旗, 黄桂田, 王韧,等. 我国钢铁企业产能过剩的成因及所有制差异分析[J]. 经济研究, 2018, 53(3):96-111.
[8] 张倩肖,董瀛飞.渐进工艺创新、产能建设周期与产能过剩——基于“新熊彼特”演化模型的模拟分析[J].经济学家,2014,26(8):33-42.
[9] 郭吉涛,郑岚清.新旧动能转换背景下传统产业潮涌现象的形成机制[J].河海大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2019,27(2):47-56,106-107.
[10] GILBERT R J,MARVIN L. Investment and coordination in oligopolistic industries[J]. The RAND Journal of Economics,1987,18(1):17-33.
[11] 刘亭立,蔡娇娇,杨松令. 市场竞争会驱动过度投资吗——基于战略性新兴产业的经验证据[J]. 管理评论,2019,31(12):219-232.
[12] 马晶梅,赵雨薇,王成东,等. 融资约束、研发操纵与企业创新决策[J]. 科研管理,2020,41(12):171-183.
[13] LAKSMANA I,YANG Y. Product market competition and corporate investment decisions[J]. Review of Accounting and Finance, 2015,14(2):128-148.
[14] GU L.Product market competition, R&D investment, and stock returns[J]. Journal of Financial Economics,2015,119(2):441-455.
[15] KORDESTANI G R,MOHAMMADI M R. A study of the relationship between product market competition and earnings management[J]. Procedia Economics and Finance,2016, 36:266-273.
[16] 戴魁早,刘友金. 市场化进程对创新效率的影响及行业差异——基于中国高技术产业的实证检验[J].财经研究,2013,39(5):4-16.
[17] 汪秋明,韩庆潇,杨晨. 战略性新兴产业中的政府补贴与企业行为——基于政府规制下的动态博弈分析视角[J]. 财经研究,2014,40(7):43-53.
[18] ENNASRI A,WILLINGER M. Incentives and managerial effort under competitive pressure: an experiment[J]. Research in Economics,2014,68(4): 324-337.
[19] 王雷,赖玉霜.金融创新、资本配置与企业技术创新——来自战略性新兴产业上市公司的实证[J].科技进步与对策,2017,34(10):69-75.
[20] LI L, CHEN J, GAO H, et al. The certification effect of government R&D subsidies on innovative entrepreneurial firms' access to bank finance: evidence from China[J]. Small Business Economics, 2019, 52(1): 241 -259.
[21] 颜晓畅,黄桂田.政府财政补贴、企业经济及创新绩效与产能过剩——基于战略性新兴产业的实证研究[J].南开经济研究,2020,36(1):176-198.
[22] 许玉云,王军,张一飞,等.国内外技术获取与高技术产业创新绩效差异——基于时滞视角的比较分析[J].科技进步与对策,2021,38(3):70-78.
[23] 姜军,江轩宇,伊志宏. 企业创新效率研究——来自股权质押的影响[J]. 金融研究,2020(2):128-146.
[24] 吴尧,沈坤荣. 资本结构如何影响企业创新——基于我国上市公司的实证分析[J]. 产业经济研究,2020(3):57-71.
[25] RICHARDSON S. Over-investment of free cash flow[J]. Review of Accounting Studies, 2006, 11(2): 159-189.
[26] 张玉娟,汤湘希. 股权结构、高管激励与企业创新——基于不同产权性质A股上市公司的数据[J]. 山西财经大学学报,2018,40(9):76-93.
[27] 王晓红,张少鹏,张奔.风险投资集聚与高技术产业创新——产学知识流动的中介作用和关系导向的调节作用[J].西安交通大学学报(社会科学版),2020,40(6):22-32.
[28] CHEN R, GHOUL S E, GUEDHAMI O, et al. Do state and foreign ownership affect investment efficiency? evidence from privatizations[J]. Journal of Corporate Finance, 2017, 42: 408-421.
[29] SHLEIFER A, VISHNY R W. A survey of corporate governance[J]. The Journal of Finance, 1997, 52(2): 737-783.