产业技术进步

国内外人工智能产业技术标准竞争力驱动路径比较研究

  • 周立军 ,
  • 刘思薇 ,
  • 杨静
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  • (中国计量大学 经济与管理学院,浙江 杭州 310018)
周立军(1972—),女,河北张家口人,博士,中国计量大学经济与管理学院教授、硕士生导师,研究方向为标准化战略与政策、技术标准化、企业标准化管理;刘思薇(1997—),女,河南焦作人,中国计量大学经济与管理学院硕士研究生,研究方向为标准化;杨静(1978—),女,河北邢台人,博士,中国计量大学经济与管理学院教授、硕士生导师,研究方向为营商环境优化、技术创新与标准化。通讯作者:刘思薇。

收稿日期: 2024-02-18

  修回日期: 2024-07-04

  网络出版日期: 2025-06-10

基金资助

国家社会科学基金重点项目(17AGL001);国家社会科学基金项目(20BGL016);浙江省重点软科学研究项目(2022C25005);浙江省自然科学基金项目(LQ20G010010)

A Comparative Study on the Driving Path of Technology Standard Competitiveness of Domestic and Overseas Artificial Intelligence Industry

  • Zhou Lijun ,
  • Liu Siwei ,
  • Yang Jing
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  • (School of Economics and Management, China Jiliang University, Hangzhou 310018, China)

Received date: 2024-02-18

  Revised date: 2024-07-04

  Online published: 2025-06-10

摘要

新一代人工智能发展迅速,因对经济社会发展的基础性、引领性和支撑性作用,其技术标准化已成为战略重点。如何突破传统因果分析思维,深刻洞察影响人工智能技术标准竞争力的复杂因素及交互关系,在更细的颗粒度上廓清影响机理和多元发展路径是亟待解决的问题。基于TOE框架,从技术、组织和环境3个维度构建技术标准竞争力影响因素分析模型,采用模糊集定性比较分析方法分别得到国内与国际层面产生高技术标准竞争力的必要条件、核心条件和组态路径。研究发现:①人工智能高技术标准竞争力的形成需要技术、组织与环境3类因素联动匹配;②营造浓厚学术氛围是形成高技术标准竞争力的关键;③国内外人工智能高技术标准竞争力路径存在差异:国内层面当前主要由参与主体驱动,而良好学术生态与高市场需求共同驱动是发达国家的主要路径。研究结论不仅呈现出国内外人工智能技术标准竞争力驱动路径差异,还可拓展技术标准竞争力理论,并为我国人工智能产业在全球进一步提升技术标准话语权提供参考路径。

本文引用格式

周立军 , 刘思薇 , 杨静 . 国内外人工智能产业技术标准竞争力驱动路径比较研究[J]. 科技进步与对策, 2025 , 42(11) : 108 -118 . DOI: 10.6049/kjjbydc.2024020083

Abstract

Artificial intelligence (AI) has become a crucial driving force for industrial transformation in the fourth industrial revolution due to its wide applicability and the growing trend of data intelligence. The direction of technical progress, the prospect of industrial development, and even the interests of countries are all significantly affected by ongoing developments in AI in which technology standards play a crucial role. Many developed countries have adopted AI technology standards as a strategic tool to outperform their competitors. It is a fundamental practical problem worth studying to explore the development path of national AI technology standardization to clarify the formation mechanism of technology standard competitiveness(TSC).Studies have suggested that technology standardization is affected by a diverse and complex set of factors, including technical background, system design, market environment, and the characteristics of the standard’s participants. However, the conventional symmetric causal method may not be suitable in a specific scenario and could not adequately predict actuality. Given the complexity of technology standardization and the dynamic development of the AI industry, it is necessary to explore the influence mechanism and path of TSC from the configuration perspective and multi-dimensionality.
This study introduces the TOE framework and constructs a research framework affecting the formation of TSC from three aspects: technology, organization, and environment. In addition, to account for asymmetry, this study adopts the fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA) to obtain a variety of equivalent paths leading to TSC. The sample of this study involves 30 provinces, municipalities, and autonomous regions in the Chinese mainland and 32 foreign countries. Through necessity analysis and sufficiency analysis, the study compares and analyzes the domestic and international similarities and differences in the distribution of necessary conditions, core conditions, and configuration factors, and then it puts forward countermeasures and suggestions, aiming to provide a reference for China to form a high-TSC and discourse power in the field of global AI industry.
Analysis indicates that the formation of AI Technology Standard Competitiveness (TSC) at both domestic and international levels does not rely on a single set of necessary conditions. Instead, it requires the integration and alignment of various factors across technology, organization, and environment dimensions. The sufficient analysis shows that the core condition of domestic AI high-TSC is organizational participation, while the international level is market demand, and there are three equivalent configurations at the domestic and international levels. These insights suggest the breakthrough of AI technology standard capability in various regions requires the scientific allocation of multi-dimensional elements, and differentiated mechanism selection and strategic deployment can be carried out according to their resource endowment, by analogy with the drive path of high-TSC with similar characteristics, and the construction path can be tailored to improve the TSC through ongoing dynamic improvement.
This study makes several contributions to theory and practice. First, within the TOE theoretical framework, a comprehensive model of influencing factors of the whole process of technology standardization from the stage of technology patenting, patent standardization, and standard industrialization is constructed. This study expands the application range of the TOE theoretical model and deepens the relevant research on the TSC. Second, this study challenges the traditional symmetric causal thinking and analyzes the causal complexity of multiple factors from the perspective of configuration theory. It uses the fsQCA method to explore the heterogeneity, causal asymmetric relationship between cases, and the equivalent path of producing the same result. The findings open the black box of the complex interaction between the standard innovation endowment and the standard competitiveness in different regions at home and abroad. Third, the results indicate that policymakers should enhance the ability of innovation subjects to participate in the formulation of technical standards, form an internal drive, strengthen the supply and demand interaction of the AI market, and enhance the external drive, thus forming a long-term driving force for the TSC. While it is essential to attach importance to the key role of a good academic ecology in forming the AI high-TSC, to promote the continuous high-quality output of academic achievements in the field of AI, and continuously consolidate the foundation of AI technology standardization and innovation.

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