Under the new development paradigm of "dual circulation", the complexity and uncertainty of China's economy are increasing. The digital economy model driven by information technologies such as the Internet of Things (IoT), cloud computing, artificial intelligence (AI), big data, and blockchain has become a new enginefor social and economic development. In this context, manufacturing enterprises are facing fierce market competition, and traditional operating models are stretched to meet increasingly diversified and individualized market demands. Service innovation based on service-led logic is an important means for traditional manufacturing enterprises to transform to manufacturing service enterprises, and to realize the adjustment of production structure and the upgrading of the value chain. Then how can manufacturing enterprises carry out service innovation? The existing research focuses on external knowledge acquisition and internal resource application. However scholars explore the antecedents from the behavioral strategy level, while the research on the strategic decision-making level is inadequate; besides the uncertainty of the external environment leads to the failure of the application of traditional causal reasoning theory in the field of service innovation. #br#This study constructs a "logic-behavior-result" research framework for manufacturing enterprise service innovation based on the effectuation theory, and empirically analyzes the influence mechanism of effectuation on manufacturing enterprise service innovation in uncertain environments. The it explores the double mediating effect of opportunity shaping and resource bricolage, and further analyzes the moderating effect of environmental uncertainty.#br#Five hundreds of questionnaires are delivered to manufacturing companies.The research samples are mainly from manufacturing enterprises in Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shanghai, Anhui and other Yangtze River Delta regions that have been established for more than two years and have served for more than one year. The questionnaires are all completed by middle and high-level leaders of the company, and 343 copies are actually collected with 308 valid questionnaires obtained. The multiple linear regression model is constructed to verify the hypotheses.#br#From the perspective of opportunity resource integration, this study discusses the dual mediating path of opportunity shaping and resource bricolage between effectuation and service innovation, and further analyzes the moderating effect of environmental uncertainty between effectuation and opportunity shaping, and resource bricolage. The results show that(1) effectuation positively affects service innovation; (2) opportunity shaping and resource bricolage play the dual mediating effect on effectuation and service innovation; (3) environmental uncertainty plays a positive moderating role in the relationship between effectuation, opportunity shaping and resource bricolage.#br#This paper makes several contributions to the literature as follows. (1) The study reconstructs the path mechanism of manufacturing enterprise service innovation from a new perspective of effectuation. From the perspective of the theory of effectuation, it clarifies the utility path of opportunity shaping and resource bricolage in the relationship between effectuation and service innovation. (2) It expands the application context of effectuation theory. This study multiplies the effectuation theory originated in the field of entrepreneurship to the service innovation situation of manufacturing enterprises, enriching the theories and methods of management decision-making in the uncertain situation of manufacturing enterprises. (3) It clarifies the boundary conditions of effectuation that affect opportunity shaping and resource bricolage, and lays a foundation for the subsequent exploration of the comparison of the service innovation effects of manufacturing enterprises under different paths. Since there are limitations on sample selection and data processing methods, the influence path of effectuation on service innovation of manufacturing enterprises is expected to be improved. Future research can further explore theinfluence path of decision-makers' characteristics, psychology and other factors in different situations between effectuation and service innovation.#br#
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