|
|
|
| Environmental Regulation, Green Technological Progress and Green Economy Development：Empirical Research of PVAR Model Based on the Panel Data of Eleven Provinces and Cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt |
| Chen Sihang1,Lei Li2,Zhou Zhonglin2 |
| (1.Hubei Rural Development Research Center of Yangtze University;2.Economic and Management School of Yangtze University,Jingzhou 434023,China) |
|
|
|
|
Abstract Environmental regulation, green technological progress and green economic development are the important theoretical and practical issues in the Yangtze River Economic Belt. Existing studies have shown that environmental regulation and green technological progress are important factors affecting the development of green economy, but there are many disputes and no clear conclusions in the academic circles about their mechanism and relationship. With the development of the Yangtze River Economic Belt becoming a national strategy, green development has been determined as the main tone, and the extensive economic growth model with high emission, high pollution and high investment is unsustainable. Therefore, scientifically clarification of the relationship between environmental regulation, green technological progress and green economic development is the basic issue to realizing green development in the Yangtze River Economic Belt, and the research on this issue needs to be further strengthened.#br# Based on the identification of the mechanism of environmental regulation, green technological progress and green economic development, this paper uses the panel data of 11 provinces and cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2005 to 2019, constructs a PVAR model to test their mutual relationship, and introduces impulse response function to construct the response model of environmental regulation, green technological progress and green economic development, and analyzes the role and influence degree of the three from the static and dynamic perspectives. The advantage of this method is that it combines the advantages of time series analysis and panel data analysis, and can control the unobservable individual effects and time effects caused by spatial changes. More importantly, it can intuitively display the dynamic response of the three in the face of impact. It can clearly describe the conduction mechanism caused by various shocks and observe the relative importance of each random disturbance term that affects the variable.#br# The empirical analysis results show that environmental regulation has a long-term positive effect on the progress of green technological progress and the development of green economy. And green technology progress has a long-term positive promoting effect on environmental regulation, a short-term inhibiting effect and a long-term positive promoting effect on the development of green economy, and green technological progress has a strong impact on environmental regulation and green economic development. The development of green economy has a long-term positive role in promoting environmental regulation and green technological progress, but its contribution to both is small. At the same time, the research also shows that the promotion of environmental regulation and green technological progress on the green economic development is a dynamic process that gradually increases, and will gradually become an important driving force for the development of green economy. Therefore, the study believes that the relationship between environmental regulation, green technological progress and green economic development is relatively complex in the short term, and will form a benign interaction that promotes each other in the long run, and can realize the self-reinforcing effect among various variables. #br# The possible innovations of this paper are as follows. First, this study constructs a new analytical framework, that is, with the help of PVAR model, environmental regulation, green technological progress and green economic development are placed in the same analytical framework, and the three are regarded as the endogenous variables. Second, this study expands the selection of indicators in the current study, that is, it sets up relevant indicators in the design of environmental regulation indicators to investigate their indirect effects, highlights the green bias and regional integrity in the calculation of green technological progress indicators, and uses the green total factor productivity considering environmental efficiency in the measurement of green economic development. Third, this study breaks through the limitations of single dimension and static research, that is, it studies the relationship and role between environmental regulation, green technological progress and green economic development from a two-way and dynamic perspective, and carries out Granger causality two-way test and dynamic impulse response analysis between the three, and clearly shows the trend and function degree of the short-term and long-term relationship between the three.#br#
|
|
Received: 11 June 2021
|
|
|
|
|
|
| [1] WILCOXEN J P J. Environmental regulation and U.S. economic growth[J]. Rand Journal of Economics, 1990, 21(2):314-340.[2] BARBERA A J,MCCONNELL V D. The impact of environmental regulations on industry productivity: direct and indirect effects[J]. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 1990, 18(1):50-65.[3] WALLEY N, WHITEHEAD B. It's not easy being green[J]. Harvard Business Review, 1994, 72(3):46-51.[4] PORTER M E，LINDE C. Toward a new conception of the environment-competitiveness relationship[J]. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 1995,9(4):97-118.[5] JAFFE A B, STAVINS R N. Dynamic incentives of environmental regulations:the effects of alternative policy instruments on technology diffusion-science direct[J]. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 1995, 29(3):43-63.[6] MOHR R D. Technical change, external economies, and the porter hypothesis[J]. Journal of Environmental Economics & Management, 2002,43(1):158-168.[7] DU K,CHENG Y,YAO X.Environmental regulation,green technology innovation, and industrial structure upgrading: the road to the green transformation of Chinese cities[J]. Energy Economics, 2021, 98:105247.[8] 孔繁彬,原毅军.环境规制、环境研发与绿色技术进步[J].运筹与管理,2019,28(2):98-105.[9] 王娟茹,张渝.环境规制、绿色技术创新意愿与绿色技术创新行为[J].科学学研究,2018,36(2):352-360.[10] 姚小剑,何珊,杨光磊.强度维度下的环境规制对绿色技术进步的影响[J].统计与决策,2018,34(6):78-82.[11] 陈超凡,韩晶,毛渊龙.环境规制、行业异质性与中国工业绿色增长——基于全要素生产率视角的非线性检验[J].山西财经大学学报,2018,40(3):65-80.[12] 高志刚,尤济红.环境规制强度与中国全要素能源效率研究[J].经济社会体制比较,2015，31(6):111-123.[13] 张海玲.技术距离、环境规制与企业创新[J].中南财经政法大学学报,2019，62(2):147-156.[14] 沈坤荣,金刚,方娴.环境规制引起了污染就近转移吗[J].经济研究,2017,52(5):44-59.[15] 李胜兰,申晨,林沛娜.环境规制与地区经济增长效应分析——基于中国省际面板数据的实证检验[J].财经论丛,2014，30(6):88-96. [16] BOYD G A，PANG J X. Estimating the linkage between energy efficiency and productivity[J]. Energy Policy，2000，28(5):289-296.[17] 陶静,胡雪萍.环境规制对中国经济增长质量的影响研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2019,29(6):85-96.[18] 史贝贝,冯晨,张妍,等.环境规制红利的边际递增效应[J].中国工业经济,2017，35(12):40-58. [19] RASSIER D G，EAMHART. The effect of clean water regulation on profitability :testing on porter hypothesis[J].Land Economics，2010，86(2):329-344.[20] 雷明,虞晓雯.资本跨期效应下中国区域能源—经济—环境效率研究[J].经济理论与经济管理,2013，33(11):5-17. [21] SHUAI S，FAN Z.Modeling the role of environmental regulations in regional green economy efficiency of china: empirical evidence from super efficiency DEA-Tobit model[J]. Journal of Environmental Management，2020，261(1):110-227.[22] 李毅,胡宗义,何冰洋.环境规制影响绿色经济发展的机制与效应分析[J].中国软科学,2020，35(9):26-38. [23] 张小筠,刘戒骄,李斌.环境规制、技术创新与制造业绿色发展[J].广东财经大学学报,2020,35(5):48-57.[24] 范丹,孙晓婷.环境规制、绿色技术创新与绿色经济增长[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2020,30(6):105-115.[25] 李斌,彭星.环境规制工具的空间异质效应研究——基于政府职能转变视角的空间计量分析[J].产业经济研究,2013，12(6):38-47.[26] ROME P M．Increasing returns and long-run grouth[J].Journal of Political Economy,1986,94(5):1002-1037．[27] LUCAS R E．On the mechanics of economic development[J].Journal of Monetary Economics,1988,22(1):3-42.[28] 关海玲,武祯妮.地方环境规制与绿色全要素生产率提升——是技术进步还是技术效率变动[J].经济问题,2020，42(2):118-129.[29] 马大来,杨光明.金融发展、技术进步与中国低碳经济增长效率——基于空间面板数据模型的实证研究[J].重庆大学学报(社会科学版),2018,24(3):13-28.[30] 尹传斌,蒋奇杰.绿色全要素生产率分析框架下的西部地区绿色发展研究[J].经济问题探索,2017，38(3):155-161.[31] WANG H, WEI W. Coordinating technological progress and environmental regulation in CO2 mitigation: the optimal levels for OECD countries & emerging economies[J]. Energy Economics, 2019,87:104510.[32] 李大元,孙妍,杨广.企业环境效益、能源效率与经济绩效关系研究[J].管理评论,2015,27(5):29-37.[33] 徐薛飞,王丽丽,陈尚.不同技术创新形式在环境规制与工业绿色增长关系中的作用[J].科技进步与对策,2020,37(19):68-76.[34] 彭文斌,文泽宙.绿色创新与中国经济高质量发展[J].江汉论坛,2019，62(9):36-43.[35] 李虹,邹庆.环境规制、资源禀赋与城市产业转型研究——基于资源型城市与非资源型城市的对比分析[J].经济研究,2018,53(11):182-198.[36] 齐绍洲,林屾,崔静波.环境权益交易市场能否诱发绿色创新——基于我国上市公司绿色专利数据的证据[J].经济研究,2018,53(12):129-143.[37] 胡琰欣,屈小娥,李依颖.我国对“一带一路”沿线国家OFDI的绿色经济增长效应[J].经济管理,2019,41(6):5-21.[38] 李勇刚.中国土地资源错配对绿色经济发展影响机制研究[J].南京社会科学,2021，32(3):30-37，46. |
|
|
|
