|
|
The Diffusion Characteristics of Intelligent Driving Innovation in China in the Post-Epidemic Period: An In-depth Interview Survey Based on Innovative Diffusion Theory |
Gao Zejin |
(School of Journalism and Communication, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100083, China) |
|
|
Abstract Nowadays the issue of innovation and diffusion of intelligent driving technology has attracted wide attention of both academia and industry. As the most important theory and application development direction in the field of artificial intelligence technology innovation, intelligent driving can only maximize its economic or social benefitsthrough effective social diffusion. In China, while the intelligent driving technology innovation is widely spreading in the society, it is confronted with many challenges. At the beginning of 2020, China unfortunately became one of the regions most seriously affected by the COVID-19 epidemic in the world, and many industrial innovation diffusion practices, including intelligent driving technology, were hit hard. Under such circumstances, how has the innovation diffusion practice of intelligent driving in China been affected? How should we do to minimize the negative impact of COVID-19 epidemic and continue to maintain its effective diffusion practice? Both questions are worthy of exploration.#br#In view of this,this study starts from Rogers' framework of innovative diffusion theory. From October 2019 to October 2020, the researchers conducted in-depth interviews with 95 people from 10 intelligent driving enterprises, 10 enterprise customers and 5 government agencies. Through the in-depth interview surveys, the different characteristics presented by the diffusion practice of China's intelligent driving innovation before and after the COVID-19 epidemic are summarized.#br#The main conclusions obtained in this study are as follows. (1) From the perspective of innovation diffusion theory, the five attribute characteristics affecting innovation diffusion are comparative advantage, compatibility, testability, complexity and observability, and they have direct impacts on the efficiency process of innovation diffusion of technology. Among them, comparative advantage, compatibility, testability and observability have positive impacts on the diffusion efficiency process of innovation, while complexity has a negative impact on the diffusion efficiency process of innovation. Although the COVID-19 epidemic eliminates the contradiction between the innovative diffusion sources of intelligent driving and the potential customers on the characteristics of innovation attributes, such as relative advantages, compatibility, trial and observability, the new contradictions focus on the education,training and easier operation requirements for non-professionals. (2) Before the COVID-19 epidemic, the government and potential users of limited scenarios had limited cognitive level of L1-L5 intelligent driving innovation, and there was a cognitive gap between the objective development of technical indicators and the actual needs of the industry, which was mainly reflected in the contradiction around the attribute characteristics of intelligent driving innovation. But COVID-19 epidemic has played an important role in dispelling the cognitive gap between the government and potential users. This makes the intelligent driving innovation persuasion and decision-making process gradually easier and even leapfrog its path. The process of innovative diffusion may directly entry into the implementation stage. (3) With the process change of the diffusion stage of intelligent driven innovation, the bell curve distribution of intelligent driving innovation is shifted. People who were originally more inclined to adopt in the later stage or do not adopt the innovation have changed their attitude towards intelligent driving innovation, showing the characteristics of competing for early adoption. (4) Facing the sudden crisis of COVID-19, Chinese intelligent driving innovation diffusion sources actively sought application opportunities under the epidemic and resumption of work scenarios, targeted development and expansion of product lines, and accelerated iteration and upgrading of technology in practice scenarios to continue its effective diffusion practice.#br# The above research conclusions outline the diffusion practice changes and stress the measures of China's intelligent driving innovation before and after COVID-19 epidemic. In future research, further quantitative research based on the above research conclusions can be conducted to obtain more micro changes in adoption rate.#br#
|
Received: 21 July 2021
|
|
|
|
|
[1] 编辑部.发展经济学的开拓者——记1979年诺贝尔经济学奖获得者威廉·阿瑟·刘易斯[J].财政监督,2015,15(16):15-18.[2] 侯利文,李亚璇.人工智能发展限度与社会可能[J].科技进步与对策,2021,38(9):9-15.[3] 工信部. 工信部启动新一代人工智能产业创新重点任务揭榜工作[J].信息技术与标准化,2018,60(11):4-4.[4] 刘刚,刘晨.人工智能科技产业技术扩散机制与实现策略研究[J].经济纵横,2020,36(9):109-119.[5] 欧阳桃花, 郑舒文, 程杨. 构建重大突发公共卫生事件治理体系:基于中国情景的案例研究[J]. 管理世界, 2020,36(8):19-32.[6] 薛澜,张强,钟开斌.危机管理:转型期中国面临的挑战[J].中国软科学,2003,17(4):6-12.[7] 闫振宇. 技术创新扩散及其影响因素研究[D]. 广州:华南师范大学,2007.[8] 埃弗雷特·M·罗杰斯. 创新的扩散[M]. 辛欣等,译.北京:中央编译出版社, 2002.[9] 黄玮强, 庄新田. 网络结构与创新扩散研究[J]. 科学学研究, 2007, 25(5):1018-1024.[10] 周密. 技术空间扩散论:“极化陷阱”之谜及其经济解释[M]. 天津: 南开大学出版社, 2010.[11] LYUBIMOV V V,KRAVTSENYUK O V,KALINTSEV A G,et al.The possibility of increasing the spatial resolution in diffusion optical tomography[J]. Journal of Optical Technology, 2003, 70(10):715-720.[12] 康凯. 技术创新扩散与模型[M]. 天津: 天津大学出版社, 2004.[13] BART D L. Externalities of R&D expenditures[J]. Economic Systems Research,2002, 14(4):407-425.[14] 马亚明,张岩贵.技术优势与对外直接投资:一个关于技术扩散的分析框架[J].南开经济研究,2003,19(4):10-14,19.[15] ANDOLFATTO D, GLENN M. Technology diffusion and aggregate dynamics[J].Review of Economic Dynamics,1998,1(2):338-370.[16] 文嫮. 嵌入全球价值链的中国地方产业网络升级机制的理论与实践研究——以上海浦东新区集成电路产业为例[D].上海:华东师范大学,2005.[17] 王婷婷. 创新扩散的要素与农民个体态度改变[D]. 上海:复旦大学,2009.[18] GRIES T,GRUNDMANN R,PALNAU I, et al. Technology diffusion, international integration and participation in developing economies-a review of major concepts and findings[J]. International Economics & Economic Policy, 2018, 15(1):215-253.[19] 高泽晋.北斗卫星导航系统的扩散特征与创新代理路径研究[J].中国科技论坛,2021,37(9):10-19.[20] 郑继兴,刘静.社会网络视角下技术创新扩散系统构建研究[J].科技进步与对策,2016,33(11):25-28.[21] 官建成, 张西武. 创新扩散模型的研究进展与展望(上)[J]. 科学学与科学技术管理, 1995,16(12):14-18.[22] 段哲哲, 周义程. 创新扩散时间形态的S型曲线研究——要义、由来、成因与未来研究方向[J]. 科技进步与对策, 2018, 35(8):155-160.[23] 张秋. 新媒体语境下创新扩散理论的不适应与发展[J]. 青年记者, 2016(24):43-44.[24] 吴予敏. 全球化时代的传播与国家发展[J]. 新闻大学, 2000,30(4):22-27.[25] 李萌. 美国发展传播研究的历史考察:发展传播现代化范式的生成、危机与重构[D]. 武汉: 华中科技大学,2012.[26] ROGERS M,KINCAID D L. Communication networks towards a new paradigm for research[M]. New York: New York Free Press, 1981.[27] 殷晓蓉.E·M·罗杰斯和他的《传播学史》[J]. 广播电视大学学报(哲学社会科学版), 2002,5(2):30-32.[28] 金兼斌. 技术传播:创新扩散的观点[M]. 哈尔滨: 黑龙江人民出版社, 2000.[29] 保建云. 大数据、人工智能与超级博弈论——新时代国际关系演变趋势分析[J]. 国家治理, 2019,16(11):19-33.[30] 杨善华, 孙飞宇. 作为意义探究的深度访谈[J]. 社会学研究, 2005,19(5):53-68.[31] 孙晓娥.扎根理论在深度访谈研究中的实例探析[J].西安交通大学学报(社会科学版),2011,31(6):87-92.[32] 孙山泽. 统计抽样方法[M].北京:北京大学出版社,2007.[33] 连燕华. 关于企业技术创新主体地位的讨论[J]. 科技与管理, 2006,8(2):133-135.[34] 孙进. 作为质的研究与量的研究相结合的“三角测量法”——国际研究回顾与综述[J]. 南京社会科学, 2006,17(10):122-128.[35] 王聚, 薛雅云. 如何掌握社会科学中的意义——基于三角测量的诠释方法研究[J]. 理论界, 2012,28(9):85-87.[36] 林毅夫,董先安,殷韦.技术选择、技术扩散与经济收敛[J].财经问题研究,2004,26(6):3-10.[37] 秦洋.信念非意志主义的认知鸿沟论证[J].自然辩证法通讯,2018,40(7):46-51. |
|
|
|