|
|
Analysis of the Impact of ICT on the Economic Growth Quality |
Lin Yong,Zhang Hao,Huang Xin |
(School of Public Administration, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400044, China) |
|
|
Abstract This paper uses 2003-2017 provincial panel data to evaluate the impact of ICT capital on the quality of economic development(EGQ).The mediation effect and dynamic threshold effect models identifies the transmission mechanism of ICT capital influencing EGQ. The study found that ICT plays a significant role in capital deepening in EGQ. As far as the transmission mechanism is concerned, the diffusion effect of technological innovation, innovative talent allocation and independent R&D are important channels for ICT capital to improve EGQ. Among them, technology diffusion and talent allocation also have a non-linear adjustment effect. As technology diffusion and talent allocation cross the threshold, the impact of ICT capital on EGQ presents an "inverted U-shaped" characteristic, but the allocation of talent is still in the "inverted U-shaped " on the left. This feature shows that when the current technology diffusion has crossed the critical value of the positive effect on EGQ, the accumulation of ICT capital will become a hindrance to EGQ, and the Chinese economy urgently needs to switch from "imitation innovation" to "independent innovation".
|
Received: 05 January 2021
|
|
|
|
|
[1] 李静, 楠玉, 刘霞辉. 中国经济稳增长难题:人力资本错配及其解决途径[J]. 经济研究, 2017, 52 (3):20-33.[2] 陈诗一, 陈登科. 雾霾污染,政府治理与经济高质量发展[J]. 经济研究, 2018, 53(2):20-34.[3] 李强, 朱宝清. 投资水平与经济高质量发展:挤出效应真的存在吗[J]. 财经科学, 2019,13(11):39-53.[4] 徐忠. 经济高质量发展阶段的中国货币调控方式转型[J]. 金融研究, 2018, 454(4):5-23.[5] JORGENSON D W, VU K. Information technology and the world growth resurgence[J]. German Economic Review, 2010,8(2):23-42.[6] 张之光, 蔡建峰.信息技术资本、替代性与中国经济增长——基于局部调整模型的分析[J]. 数量经济技术经济研究, 2012,29(9):71-81.[7] VANDENBUSSCHE J,MEGHIR A C. Distance to frontier, growth, and the composition of human capital[J]. Journal of Economic Growth, 2006, 11(2):97-127.[8] AGENOR P R, CANUTO O. Middle-income growth traps[J]. Research in Economics, 2015, 69(4):641-660.[9] DINOPOULOS E, THOMPSON P.Endogenous growth in a cross-section of countries[J]. Journal of International Economics, 2000,51(2):335-362.[10] 潘士远, 朱丹丹, 徐恺. 人才配置、科学研究与中国经济增长[J].经济学(季刊),2021,21(2):427-444.[11] HICKS J R. The theory of wages[M]. London: Macmillan,1963.[12] 王永钦, 李明. 理解中国的经济奇迹:互联合约的视角[J]. 管理世界, 2008,24(10):11-26.[13] ACEMOGLU, DARON, AGHION,et al. Distantce to frontier, selection and economic growth[J]. Journal of the European Economic Association, 2002, 4(1):37-74.[14] DINOPOULOS E, THOMPSON P. Endogenous growth in a cross-section of countries[J]. Journal of International Economics, 2000,51(2):335-362.[15] ELENA, GENNADJENVA, POPKOVA, et al. New quality of economic growth concept[J]. International Journal of Economic Policy Studies, 2010,23(6):32-43.[16] 任保平, 钞小静, 魏婕.中国经济增长质量报告: 中国经济增长质量指数及省区排名[M]. 北京:中国经济出版社,2012.[17] 聂长飞, 简新华. 中国高质量发展的测度及省际现状的分析比较[J]. 数量经济技术经济研究, 2020, 37(2):27-48.[18] 林勇, 张宗益.禀赋差距还是权利缺失:区域经济发展差距理论与实证研究[J]. 中国人口·资源与环境, 2008,18(1):51-56.[19] 傅晓霞, 吴利学. 技术差距、创新环境与企业自主研发强度[J]. 世界经济, 2012(7):103-124.[20] 樊纲, 王小鲁, 朱恒鹏.中国市场化指数. 各省区市场化相对进程2011年度报告[M].北京:经济科学出版社,2011.[21] KISHI K. Technology diffusion, innovation size, and patent policy[J]. European Economic Review, 2019, 118(7):86-101.[22] MARYAM K, JEHAN Z. Total factor productivity convergence in developing countries: role of technology diffusion[J]. South African Journal of Economics,2018, 86(2):247-262.[23] BUERA F J, OBERFIELD E. The global diffusion of ideas[J]. Econometrica, 2020, 88(1):83-114.[24] 葛立宇.要素市场扭曲、人才配置与创新强度[J]. 经济评论, 2018,32(5):31-44. |
|
|
|