|
|
|
| Does Biased Technological Progress Contribute to Renewable Energy Transition: Evidence from the Elasticity of Factor Substitution |
| Dong Chunshi |
| (School of economics and management, Xi'an Shiyou University, Xi'an 710065,China) |
|
|
|
|
Abstract Although biased technological progress is regarded as one of the most important driving factors of renewable energy consumption, existing studies ignore its impact on renewable energy transition. Based on the theoretical framework of biased technological progress, this paper analyzes the bias of technological progress, and estimates the substitution elasticity between fossil energy and renewable energy by using the fixed effect stochastic frontier production function. The impact of biased technological progress on renewable energy transiton in 30 Chinese provinces from 2000 to 2017 is tested. The results show that, as a whole, technological progress tends to use more fossil energy between fossil energy and renewable energy, and there is a substitution relationship between them. This shows that biased technological progress is not conducive to renewable energy transition. From the perspective of provinces, only Shanghai, Zhejiang and Hubei’s technological progress tend to use more renewable energy, and renewable energy can effectively replace fossil energy. This shows that technological progress in these provinces is conducive to renewable energy transition.
|
|
Received: 27 December 2020
|
|
|
|
|
|
| [1] BOSO,GARRIDO J,LVAREZ B,et al.Narratives of resistance to technological change:drawing lessons for urban energy transitions in southern Chile[J].Energy Research & Social Science,2020,65:101473.[2] HICKS J.The theory of wages[M].London:McMillian, 1932.[3] 王班班,齐绍洲.有偏技术进步、要素替代与中国工业能源强度[J].经济研究,2014,49(2):115-127.[4] KENNEDY C.Induced bias in innovation and the theory of distribution[J].The Economic Journal,1964,74(295):541-547.[5] SAMUELSON P.A theory of induced innovation along Kennedy-Weisacker lines [J].Review of Economics and Statistics,1965, 47(4):343-356.[6] ACEMOGLU D.Why do new technologies complement skills? directed technical change and wage inequality[J].The Quarterly Journal of Economics,1998,113(4):1055-1089.[7] ACEMOGLU D.Directed technical change[J].Review of Economic Studies,2002,69(4):781-809.[8] FRE R,GRIFELL-TATJ E,GROSSKOPF S,et al.Biased technical change and the malmquist productivity index[J].Scandinavian Journal of Economics,1997,99(1):119-127.[9] SHAO S,LUAN R R,YANG Z B,et al.Does directed technological change get greener:empirical evidence from Shanghai's industrial green development transformation[J].Ecological Indicators,2016,69:758-770.[10] ZHA D L,KAVURI A S,SI S J.Energy-biased technical change in the Chinese industrial sector with CES production functions[J].Energy,2018,148:896-903.[11] 杨翔,李小平,钟春平.中国工业偏向性技术进步的演变趋势及影响因素研究[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2019,36(4):101-119.[12] YANG G L,ZHA D L,ZHANG C Q,et al.Does environment-biased technological progress reduce CO2 emissions in APEC economies? evidence from fossil and clean energy consumption[J].Environmental Science and Pollution Research,2020,27(17):20984-20999.[13] ELSHURAFA A M,FARAG H M,HOBBS D A.Blind spots in energy transition policy:case studies from Germany and USA[J].Energy Reports,2019,5:20-28.[14] SCHMIDT T S,STEFFEN B,EGLI F,et al.Adverse effects of rising interest rates on sustainable energy transitions[J].Nature Sustainability,2019,2(9):879-885.[15] TZANKOVA Z.Public policy spillovers from private energy governance:new opportunities for the political acceleration of renewable energy transitions[J].Energy Research & Social Science,2020,67:101504.[16] BAMATI N,RAOOFI A.Development level and the impact of technological factor on renewable energy production[J].Renewable Energy,2020,151:946-955.[17] 张兵兵,徐康宁.技术进步与CO2排放:基于跨国面板数据的经验分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2013,23(9):28-33.[18] AN H,XU J J,MA X J.Does technological progress and industrial structure reduce electricity consumption? evidence from spatial and heterogeneity analysis[J].Structural Change and Economic Dynamics,2020,52:206-220.[19] 任海军,赵景碧.技术创新、结构调整对能源消费的影响:基于碳排放分组的PVAR实证分析[J].软科学,2018,32(7):30-34.[20] GU W,ZHAO X H,YAN X B,et al.Energy technological progress,energy consumption,and CO2 emissions:empirical evidence from China[J].Journal of Cleaner Production,2019,236:117666.[21] 王班班,齐绍洲.中国工业技术进步的偏向是否节约能源[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2015,25(7):24-31.[22] 何小钢,王自力.能源偏向型技术进步与绿色增长转型:基于中国33个行业的实证考察[J].中国工业经济,2015,32(2):50-62.[23] YANG Z B,SHAO S,YANG L L,et al.Improvement pathway of energy consumption structure in China's industrial sector:from the perspective of directed technical change[J].Energy Economics,2018,72:166-176.[24] DAVIDSON D J.Exnovating for a renewable energy transition[J].Nature Energy,2019,4(4):254-256.[25] YORK R,BELL S E.Energy transitions or additions?why a transition from fossil fuels requires more than the growth of renewable energy[J].Energy Research & Social Science,2019,51:40-43.[26] SERLETIS A,TIMILSINA G R,VASETSKY O.Interfuel substitution in the United States[J].Energy Economics,2010,32(3):737-745.[27] WESSEH P K,LIN B Q.Output and substitution elasticities of energy and implications for renewable energy expansion in the ECOWAS region[J].Energy Policy,2016,89:125-137.[28] 单豪杰.中国资本存量K的再估算:1952—2006年[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2008,25(10):17-31.[29] 张宁,张维洁.中国用能权交易可以获得经济红利与节能减排的双赢吗[J].经济研究,2019,54(1):165-181.[30] DIAMOND P A.Disembodied technical change in a two-sector model[J].The Review of Economic Studies,1965,32(2):161-168. |
|
|
|
