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| Research on the Synergistic Effect of Manufacturing Agglomeration and Urbanization Development for Urban Green Total Factor Productivity |
| Hu Xuhua1,2 ,Chen Mo1 |
| (1.School of Finance and Economics,Jiangsu University；2.Institute of Industrial Economics,Jiangsu University，Zhengjiang 212013,China) |
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Abstract Taking 261 cities in China from 2004 to 2017 as an example,this paper uses the nonlinear threshold model and dynamic spatial effect decomposition,based on the "coordination","non-coordination"and "space overflow"scenarios,respectively.Mechanism analysis and empirical testing were carried out to influence the development of green total factor productivity.The study found that although the "two-wheel drive" of manufacturing agglomeration and urbanization can promote the improvement of urban green total factor productivity,when the urbanization level exceeds 0.4241 and the manufacturing concentration is less than 0.706 7 or exceeds 1.291 1,"non-coordination" collaboratively driven green total factor productivity incentives will fail.The full-sample dynamic spatial effect decomposition shows that the interaction between manufacturing agglomeration and urbanization in the short term can create opportunities for the improvement of green total factor productivity among the whole regions; but in the long run,inter-regional factor flows and restructuring will lead to the accumulation of green leading urban manufacturing.The subtle imbalance of coordination with urbanization,and thus the expected path of green total factor productivity growth is interrupted.The decomposition of heterogeneous urban dynamic spatial effects shows that the current green poles are still concentrated in the new first-line,first- and second-tier cities,and the green polarization effects of the three-,four- and five-line cities are not significant,and the green reflow and spillover effects between regions are not yet obvious.
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Received: 28 June 2019
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