|
|
|
| Evaluation of China's Manufacturing Industry Policy Effectiveness |
| Tang Xiaohua,Zhang Xinyu,Chen Yang |
| Economics Collage, Liaoning University, Shenyang 110036, China |
|
|
|
|
Abstract Industrial policy is a kind of public regulation policy that adopted widely in market economy, and industrial policy effectiveness evaluation is a basic method utilized to examine the effects of policy implementation. On the basis of constructing performance evaluation index system for the manufacturing of industrial policy, the thesis applied grey correlation neural network intelligent algorithm to predict the index data from 2005 to 2014. Then the contrast difference method was used to make a comprehensive evaluation on effectiveness of China's manufacturing industry policy from 2005 to 2014. The evaluation was divided respectively from the point of industrial structure, organization, science and technology in the manufacturing industry policy to analysis the performance levels and the stage evolution characteristics on the process of transformation and upgrading. The result provides scientific theory basis and reasonable proposals for manufacturing industry policy.
|
|
Received: 09 February 2017
|
|
|
|
Corresponding Authors:
Tang Xiaohua
|
|
|
|
［1］刘昌黎. 现代日本经济概论［M］. 大连:东北财经大学出版社有限责任公司, 2014.
［2］PELTZMAN S. Toward a more general theory of regulation ［J］.Journal of Law and Economics,1976(19):211-240.
［3］LEE JONG-WHA. Government interventions and productivity growth in Korean manufacturing indus-tries［J］.Journal of Economic Growth, 1996, 1(3):391-414.
［4］舒锐. 产业政策一定有效吗？——基于工业数据的实证分析［J］.产业经济研究, 2013(3):45-54.
［5］MARTIN F. Rethinking the role of fiscal policy［J］.American Economic Review, 2009,99(2):556-59.
［6］（日）南亮进. 经济发展的转折点：日本经验［M］.关权, 译.北京:社会科学文献出版社, 2008.
［7］STIGLITZ J E. Some lessons from the east Asian miracle［J］.The Word Bank Research Observer，1996(11):151-177.
［8］NUNN N，TREFLER D. The structure of tariffs and long-trem growth［J］.American Economic Journal Macroeconomics, 2010, 2(4):158-194.
［9］MELLSSA LIEW，LANGFORD B WHITE.Concurrent temporal planning using timed petrinets-policy evaluation［J］.Springer Berlin/Heidelberg, 2007:727-731.
［10］BROCK W A, DURLAUF S N, WEST K D. Model uncertainty and policy evaluation:some theory and empirics［J］.Journal of Econometrics, 2005, 136(2):629-664.
［11］AGHION P, DAVID P A, FORAY D. Science, technology and innovation for economic growth:linking policy research and practice in 'STIG System'［J］.Research Policy, 2009, 38(4):681-693.
［12］刘希宋，夏志勇，赵寰. 基于全面建设小康社会的支柱产业政策绩效评价［J］.科学学与科学技术管理, 2005, 26(6):116-119.
［13］宁凌，汪亮，廖泽芳. 基于DEA的高技术产业政策评价研究——以广东省为例［J］.国家行政学院学报，2011( 2):99-103.
［14］严飞. 基于模糊多准则决策方法的产业集群政策评价［J］.经济问题, 2012(2):43-46.
［15］邱兆林.中国产业政策有效性的实证分析——基于工业行业的面板数据［J］.软科学, 2015,29(2):11-14.
［16］陈瑾玫.中国产业政策效应研究［D］.沈阳:辽宁大学, 2007.
［17］邱兆林.中国制造业转型升级中产业政策的绩效研究［D］.济南:山东大学, 2016.
［18］杨贵彬. 基于BP神经网络的我国产业政策作用力评价研究［J］.科技进步与对策, 2007,24(11):16-19.
［19］关爱萍. 产业同构测度的方法［J］. 统计与决策, 2007(19):32-34.
［20］肖泽磊, 韩顺法.高技术产业政策实施效果评估［J］.科技进步与对策, 2011,28(24):126-130.
［21］邵颖红, 黄渝祥. 政策后评价的方法［J］.中国软科学, 1999(4):26-28.
|
|
|
|
