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| Three Stage Model Building and Simulation Research of Industrial Generic Technology Diffusion |
| Su Xin，Zhao Yue |
| (Business School, Guilin University of Electronic Technology, Guilin 541000, China) |
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Abstract Based on the theory of industrial generic technology and technology diffusion model, the threestage evolution simulation model of industrial generic technology diffusion was constructed by the government's role as the adjustment variable, then the paper analyses the evolution characteristics of the three stages of industrial generic technology diffusion under the condition of the government. The Matlab platform is used to simulate the subject adoption behavior and generic technology diffusion speed, and taking the diffusion of generic technology in China's new energy vehicle industry as an example, the simulation results are tested empirically. The results show that industrial generic technology diffusion has experienced decision authority, the second innovation, and attached diffusion three diffusion stage. The adoption ratio of industrial generic technology diffusion follows the "S" curve law, while the speed of industrial generic technology diffusion shows the "N" trend of "risingfallingrising". Enterprises that directly adopt the results of secondary innovation have a greater impact on industrial generic technology diffusion. The government plays a key role in the process of technology diffusion, but at different stages of diffusion, the way and degree of government intervention will vary. The scale and speed of the industrial generic technology diffusion are affected by the ratio and success rate of the reinnovation. Only the transformation of industrial generic technology into proprietary technology or new products can achieve the effective diffusion of common technology.
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Received: 20 March 2019
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