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Abstract How to detect and identify the future trend of emerging technologies with disruptive potential as early as possible is crucial for government R&D strategic planning and enterprises practices.As for avoiding the weakness of using publications and patents to study the development trends of emerging technologies,this paper proposes a method to analyze the development trends of emerging technologies based on socially aware analysis.Firstly,the data mining method based on keywords semantic association and semantic theme analysis is used to extract and analyze the aware information of emerging technologies.Then,the development trends of emerging technologies is analyzed by "visualization" and "knowledge discovery" of emerging technology socially aware.Finally,the perovskite solar cells technology is as a case study to analyze the effectiveness and feasibility of the method.The method used in this paper provide a new perspective to study the development trends of emerging technologies.
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| Fund:国家自然科学基金面上项目（71673018）；国家自然科学基金青年项目(71402073)；北京市自然科学青年基金项目（9164023）；北京市教委科技计划社会科学一般项目（SM201610005001）；北京工业大学校人文社会科学基金项目（BJUT201512） |
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